August 14, 2024
Retail inflation has declined : What is Retail Inflation ?
India’s retail inflation in July to a near five-year low, as food prices eased from previous highs due to a base effect, government data showed on Monday.
Annual retail inflation was 3.54 per cent in July, from 5.08 per cent in June. The latest print is the lowest since August 2019.
Economists polled by Reuters had forecast inflation at 3.65 per cent, based on a higher print in July last year when inflation hit a 15-month peak of 7.44 per cent.
Retail inflation fell below the Reserve Bank of India’s target of 4 per cent largely due to the high-base effect, suggesting the slower pace of price rises was temporary. The inflation rate was last recorded below 4 per cent in September 2019.
What is Retail Inflation ?
Retail inflation refers to the increase in the prices of goods and services that are typically purchased by consumers at the retail level. It reflects the rise in the cost of living for the general public, as it measures the changes in the prices of a basket of consumer goods and services over time.
Key Points about Retail Inflation:
- Measurement:
- Retail inflation is commonly measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI). The CPI tracks the prices of a selected group of goods and services that are typically bought by households, including food, clothing, housing, transportation, medical care, and education.
- The rate of retail inflation is expressed as a percentage change in the CPI over a specific period, usually on a monthly or annual basis.
- Impact on Consumers:
- Retail inflation directly affects the purchasing power of consumers. When inflation rises, the same amount of money buys fewer goods and services, leading to a decrease in the standard of living unless incomes rise at the same rate as prices.
- Essential goods and services, such as food and fuel, are particularly sensitive to retail inflation, as they constitute a significant portion of household expenditures.
- Causes of Retail Inflation:
- Demand-Pull Inflation: Occurs when demand for goods and services exceeds supply, leading to higher prices.
- Cost-Push Inflation: Results from an increase in the cost of production, such as higher wages or raw material costs, which producers pass on to consumers in the form of higher prices.
- Imported Inflation: When the prices of imported goods rise due to factors like currency depreciation or higher global prices, leading to increased costs for consumers.
- Impact on the Economy:
- Moderate retail inflation is often seen as a sign of a growing economy, as it indicates rising demand and economic activity.
- However, high inflation can erode consumer confidence, reduce savings, and destabilize the economy, leading central banks and governments to implement measures to control inflation.
- Inflation Targeting:
- Many central banks, including the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), use inflation targeting as a monetary policy tool. They set an inflation target, typically around 2-4%, and adjust interest rates to keep inflation within this range.
- When retail inflation exceeds the target, central banks may raise interest rates to cool down demand and bring inflation under control.