History of the Syrian Conflict

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December 9, 2024

History of the Syrian Conflict

  1. Origins (Pre-2011)
    • Syria was ruled by the Assad family since 1970, with Hafez al-Assad holding power until his death in 2000.
    • Bashar al-Assad succeeded him and initially promised political reforms but maintained authoritarian control.
    • Socioeconomic issues, including unemployment, poverty, and droughts, further fueled discontent.
  2. Arab Spring and Protests (2011)
    • Inspired by the Arab Spring, protests demanding political reforms and freedom erupted in March 2011.
    • The Assad regime responded with violent crackdowns, escalating tensions.
    • By mid-2011, the conflict had turned into a civil war.
  3. Civil War and Rebel Groups (2011–2013)
    • Various factions emerged, including moderate opposition groups, Kurdish forces, and radical Islamist groups.
    • The Free Syrian Army (FSA) formed as a major opposition force.
    • Jihadist groups like Jabhat al-Nusra and later ISIS gained prominence.
  4. Involvement of External Powers (2013 Onward)
    • The conflict drew regional and global powers into a proxy war.
    • Chemical weapon attacks in 2013 shocked the international community, with the Assad regime accused of their use.

Main Rebel Groups

  1. Free Syrian Army (FSA):
    • A coalition of defected Syrian soldiers and civilians opposing the Assad regime.
    • Initially supported by Western nations but weakened over time.
  2. Kurdish Forces (YPG/SDF):
    • The People’s Protection Units (YPG), backed by the U.S., fought ISIS and sought Kurdish autonomy.
    • Operates under the broader Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) umbrella.
  3. Jabhat al-Nusra (al-Qaeda affiliate):
    • Later rebranded as Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), focused on establishing an Islamic state.
  4. ISIS (Islamic State):
    • Gained control of large parts of Syria and Iraq in 2014, enforcing a brutal interpretation of Sharia law.
    • Declared a caliphate but was defeated militarily by 2019.

Countries Supporting Different Factions

  1. Supporting the Assad Regime:
    • Russia:
      • Provided military and political support since 2015, including airstrikes.
      • Key ally in securing Assad’s survival.
    • Iran:
      • Supplied financial aid, arms, and fighters (including Hezbollah).
      • Aimed to maintain influence in the region.
  2. Supporting Rebel Groups:
    • United States:
      • Initially backed moderate rebels and later focused on fighting ISIS.
      • Supported Kurdish-led SDF forces.
    • Turkey:
      • Supported opposition groups to counter both Assad and Kurdish forces.
      • Opposed Kurdish autonomy near its border.
    • Gulf States (Saudi Arabia, Qatar):
      • Provided funding and arms to various rebel factions opposing Assad.
  3. Fighting ISIS:
    • Global Coalition (U.S., UK, France, etc.):
      • Conducted airstrikes and supported ground forces like the SDF to defeat ISIS.

Humanitarian and Geopolitical Impact

  1. Casualties and Displacement:
    • Over 500,000 people killed.
    • Millions displaced internally and externally, leading to a global refugee crisis.
  2. Geopolitical Tensions:
    • Escalated rivalry between U.S. and Russia.
    • Deepened regional divisions (e.g., Sunni-Shia tensions, Turkey-Kurdish conflict).
  3. Destruction:
    • Widespread destruction of cities, infrastructure, and cultural heritage sites.

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History of the Syrian Conflict | Vaid ICS Institute